Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions
The Baltimore Orioles (12-6) and Kansas City Royals (12-7) open a 3-game series at Kauffman Stadium Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Orioles vs. Royalsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 2-1
The Royals are coming off a 2-1 loss at the Chicago White Sox Wednesday, failing to cash as -164 favorites. They have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 12-7 on the run line this season.
The Orioles have won 4 straight games, closing as favorites in each. They covered in all 4 and are 11-7 on the run line this season. Baltimore is coming off a 4-2 win over the Minnesota Twins Wednesday.
Orioles at Royals projected starters
RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Alec Marsh
Kremer (0-1, 4.96 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 16 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 11-5 home loss to Milwaukee Brewers Saturday
- 2023 road splits: 5-3, 3.73 ERA (70 IP, 29 ER — 9 HR), 21 BB, 68 K in 13 starts
Marsh (2-0, 4.32 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 16 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 11-7 road win over New York Mets Saturday
- Royals are 3-0 in his starts
- 2023 home splits: 1-4, 6.59 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 20 ER — 5 HR), 17 BB, 32 K in 3 starts and 4 relief appearances
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Orioles at Royals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Royals +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+114) | Royals +1.5 (-134)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Orioles at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 6, Orioles 4
Moneyline
BET ROYALS (+116).
Kansas City has been terrific with Marsh on the mound, winning every start. In those starts, the Royals beat the Orioles 4-1, the White Sox 3-0 and the Mets 11-7.
Kansas City has also won 8 straight games at home and is 8-2 straight up at Kauffman Stadium. The Orioles have been surging as of late, and while 12-6 on the season, they are just 3-2 in their last 5 road games.
With those trends in mind and the value on the home underdogs, back ROYALS (+116).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Orioles have won 11 of 12 games by more than 1 run, so if they come out on top, it'll likely be by 2 or more, making the Kansas City value better on the moneyline than the run line.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (-108).
The Orioles have gone Over in 7 of their last 8 games, scoring at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 4. Baltimore is 11-5-2 O/U on the season with the series between these 2 going 1-1-1 earlier in the year.
The Royals are 6-12-1 O/U but have gone Over in their last 2 at home, scoring a combined 24 runs in those 2 games against the Astros. They have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of 7 home games.
Back OVER 9 (-108).
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